The price assumption your investment case rests on, built properly.
LTMF is One Hub Energy's long-term forecast for the European power markets: Day-Ahead and Ancillary Services price curves out to a 35-year horizon, in three scenarios, delivered as files you can model plus a report that explains what sits behind them.
It is sold as a standalone product. No platform subscription, no consulting engagement required.
Europe
Coverage — operational focus on continental Europe and bidding zones
35 yr
Horizon, read in short, medium & long-term bands
1 hour
Granularity of the Day-Ahead curves
Periodic
Update cycle, with assumptions reviewed each release
How the forecast is structured
Central — reference pathway
High & Low — bounding trajectories
Diagrams show how the forecast is structured — scenario logic and time resolution — not forecast values.
Two market modules, on one consistent set of assumptions.
Take both, or the one your revenue stack actually depends on. Because they are built on the same scenario logic, results from the two modules can be added together without reconciling two different views of the market.
Day-Ahead forecasts
Hourly (15-minute optional) day-ahead price curves, calibrated and validated, capturing the market dynamics that actually matter: peak-hour prices, solar-hour prices, negative prices, and the spreads that drive value.
Ancillary Services forecasts
Price curves for ancillary services, at a granularity matched to how each service is priced and kept analytically consistent with the Day-Ahead module — so a stacked revenue case holds together across both markets.
The data, and the reasoning behind it.
A forecast nobody can interrogate is hard to defend in a committee. LTMF ships as two deliverables: one to model with, one to answer questions with. Exact scope and formats are agreed per client.
Ready to plug into your model
- Day-Ahead and Ancillary Services prices, Central / High / Low
- Excel and CSV, structured for direct import
- Full horizon, usable as delivered or trimmed to your asset life
Why the curves look the way they do
- Executive summary and what changed since the last release
- Key drivers and assumptions, scenario by scenario
- Methodology summary, scenario read-through and caveats
Market data and fundamentals, under explicit assumptions.
Long-term forecasting fails in two directions: pure statistics that ignore where the system is heading, and pure narrative with no data underneath. LTMF is built to sit between the two — and the assumptions behind every scenario are written down, not implied.
Historical market data
Prices, commodities, demand, installed capacity and generation for the Iberian system, structured into one consistent base.
Scenario assumptions
A distinct set of long-term hypotheses per scenario, informed by our market read and published policy trajectories.
Modelling & validation
Quantitative modelling of the price path, calculated in hourly resolution and reviewed against observed market behaviour.
Every use case ends in a decision someone has to sign.
Start from a forecast you can defend.
Tell us about the portfolio or project you are pricing. We will walk you through the scenarios, what the report covers and how the curves land in your model.